BAU Scenario for the City of Helsinki’s Emissions up to 2050 (pdf)
The aim of the work was to develop the first transparent and comparable method for implementing a snapshot analysis of emissions in a specific area, such as a city, to support climate management. The calculation model produces an overall indicative estimate on the scale of emissions, and it enables area-based comparisons between the current state scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions and the estimates made for the reference years 2030, 2040 and 2050 based on the BAU scenario. Especially with regard to scope 3 emissions, the calculation results are merely indicative due to the qualitative problems with the baseline data. WSP Finland Oy was responsible for method development and the correctness of the calculations. The principles and assumptions of the calculation model have been systematically and transparently reported to enable easy updating, follow-up reviews and further development by non-city users as well.